Extremism, conformity, and the problem of law

9th December 2025

How the law can (attempt to) regulate extremism, but it can really do nothing about conformism.

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Let us start with this thought-provoking passage:

When I visited Auschwitz many years ago, someone in our group said that this is what happens when extremism flourishes.

Our tour guide replied:

“This place is not explained by extremism. It is explained by conformity.”

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That exchange was in a recent post by Ian Dunt, which you can read here.

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The state can have a good go at regulating extremism.

The state can seek to define it, for definitions are often the starting point for law and policy.

In the United Kingdom we have the following official definition of extremism:

Extremism is the promotion or advancement of an ideology based on violence, hatred or intolerance, that aims to:

(1) negate or destroy the fundamental rights and freedoms of others; or

(2) undermine, overturn or replace the UK’s system of liberal parliamentary democracyand democratic rights; or

(3) intentionally create a permissive environment for others to achieve the results in (1) or (2).

The types of behaviour below are indicative of the kind of promotion or advancement which may be relevant to the definition, and are an important guide to its application. The further context below is also an essential part of the definition.

If you look at the government’s webpage, you will see that this definition even has footnotes:

A definition with its own footnotes that define terms within the definition: this is serious stuff.

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The term “extremism” is even used in statutes and statutory instruments:

And once you have a term defined officially, and used widely in legal instruments, you can do legal and policy things in respect of that term:

And so we have things like the Prevent Strategy which seeks to stop extremism becoming terrorism:

And we have Crown Prosecution Service guidance which refers to extremism:

And so on.

Extremism is a bureaucratic category and, as such, a government can have laws and policies that deal seek to deal with it.

Those laws and policies may have limited or no effect, or indeed counter-productive effects, but at least the state can have a good go at addressing extremism.

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Now let us turn from extremism to conformity – the thing which the passage quoted at the head of this post warned us against:

When I visited Auschwitz many years ago, someone in our group said that this is what happens when extremism flourishes.

Our tour guide replied:

“This place is not explained by extremism. It is explained by conformity.”

What can law and policy do about conformity?

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There is perhaps nothing the law can do to counter conformity.

This is because – maybe literally, maybe logically – the law actually requires conformity.

Maybe a law against conformity is even a contradiction-in-terms, if you think about it.

One premise of law is that, well, people comply with it.

A law which sought to counter conformity would no doubt be rather self-defeating.

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The same can be said about policy: again one point about policy is that officials and the public are supposed to abide by it.

Policy, in general terms, provides what officials and the public should and should not do in certain situations. There may be exceptions in specific circumstances, but policy provides the general thrust of public action.

And on this basis, a policy against conformity is perhaps also a contradiction-in-terms, if you think about it.

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There is probably nothing law and policy can do to counter the threat of conformity.

Indeed, once illiberals and authoritarians have public power, and so can determine law and policy, conformity will reinforce illiberalism and authoritarianism.

And, as and when illiberalism and authoritarianism slide into extremism, then conformity will reinforce that extremism.

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The problem of conformity cannot thereby be solved by law and policy.

The danger needs to be addressed by other means.

And that other means is, of course, politics.

One may not be able to have a law or a policy against conformity, but one can certainly be politically opposed to it – to campaign and vote or otherwise mobilise against extremists who want to take control of the state.

And this includes resisting the temptation to conform – that is to nod-along with what is happening.

There are always extremists.

But what gives them power is not the appeal of their extremism, but the comfort others have in conformity.

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When I visited Auschwitz many years ago, someone in our group said that this is what happens when extremism flourishes.

Our tour guide replied:

“This place is not explained by extremism. It is explained by conformity.”

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Comments are welcome, but they are pre-moderated and comments will not be published if irksome, or if they risk derailing the discussion.

More on the comments policy is here.

How the BBC censored the line that Trump is “the most openly corrupt president in American history”

30th November 2025

 

 

The British Broadcasting Corporation’s Reith Lectures are prestigious things, a highlight of the broadcasting year.

The 2025 lecturer is Rutger Bregman.

The first of this year’s lectures is available to listen here and there is a BBC transcript of that lecture here.

But there is something missing from the broadcast lecture and the transcript.

The broadcast lecture and the published transcript are not a complete and accurate record of what was actually said.

What is missing – edited out by the BBC – is a single line.

The line is that Donald Trump is “the most openly corrupt president in American history”.

As a special treat for those who are kind enough to pay for subscriptions for this blog, I have done a close look at those “legal reasons” from an English media law perspective.

You can read it on Substack here and on Patreon here.

If you financially support this blog by other means (eg PayPal), leave a comment below (which will not be published) and I can either add you as a complementary subscriber or send the post to your email address.

Trump v the BBC cont’d: an odd and desperate letter from the US media regulator

22nd November 2025

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Why the BBC is right not to pay damages to Trump

14th November 2025

By apologising, the broadcaster has taken the sting out of Trump’s excessive attack

I have done a piece at the New Statesman where I used to be legal correspondent, you can read it here.

You can comment below.

The letter the BBC could send to Trump in reply to his $1bn claim

12th November 2025

Yesterday this blog offered a close reading of the letter Trump’s lawyers had sent to the British Broadcasting Corporation. As a follow-up, this is a letter that the BBC could send in reply.

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Dear Sirs

We refer to your letter.

As a preliminary point, it is accepted that the edited video in the Panorama programme was an error which should not have been made by the production company or approved by us for broadcast. We apologise for that error both to our viewers generally and to your client in particular. It was a failure of commissioning, journalistic and editorial standards. The programme has been removed from our iPlayer online platform and it will not be broadcast again with the error.

But failures of commissioning, journalistic and editorial standards do not by themselves give rise to a legal claim. We have looked carefully at your client’s claim as set out in your letter, and for the reasons below that claim is denied.

Your letter provides no evidence that your client was aware of the programme when it was broadcast or for at least a year afterwards. If your client maintains this claim please disclose evidence for our pre-action inspection that your client was aware of the broadcast before the press coverage of the last two weeks. Please also inform us when you were first instructed in respect of this complaint. In your letter you are anxious that we retain relevant documents, and so we presume you also have relevant documents about your client’s awareness of the programme. If you do have such evidence, please confirm that is the case.

The programme was not broadcast in the United States generally or Florida in particular. Our programmes on iPlayer are not available in the United States. Please provide any evidence for our pre-action inspection that the programme was watched by any person in your jurisdiction. Again, given the document retention requirements you set out in your letter, you presumably have retained such documents. And again, if you do have such evidence, please confirm this is the case.

You state in your letter three times that your client has suffered “overwhelming financial and reputational harm”. This is presumably on the Beetlejuice principle that if you say something three times it somehow appears. But your letter contains no evidence of either financial or reputational harm, let alone both. And your letter certainly fails to provide evidence of any harm being “overwhelming”. Given that your client was actually re-elected to the presidency within days of this programme being shown (in the United Kingdom but not the United States) there is no obvious harm that was suffered by your client.

If you do have any evidence of the alleged harm, either “overwhelming” or at all , and if your client continues with this claim, please provide that for our pre-action inspection. Please also provide evidence that the programme was “widely disseminated throughout various digital mediums, which have reached tens of millions of people worldwide”.

Talking of “tens of millions” you provided no basis whatsoever for the figure of one billion dollars. Please confirm whether this is a billion in an English or an American sense. As the figure seems arbitrary, please provide your workings out of the quantum. As it stands, the figure has no more meaning than a demand for one trillion dollars, or for one dollar.

Both your client and the BBC believe in the value of freedom of expression. Your client benefits from the constitutional and other legal protections for free speech in the United States. The BBC also should have the benefit of the same protections. We made a mistake for which we have apologised and undertaken not to broadcast again. But this should not be a matter for the courts.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Yours faithfully

[ ]

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Comments Policy

This blog enjoys a high standard of comments, many of which are better and more interesting than the posts.

Comments are welcome, but they are pre-moderated and comments will not be published if irksome, or if they risk derailing the discussion.

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A close look at Trump’s $1 billion claim against the BBC

11th November 2025

The litigation letter is weak, but his underlying practical position is not weak

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The headlines are eye-catching.

Other, similar front pages are here.

What is going on?

And what can be usefully said from a United Kingdom perspective about this threat by the President of the United States of America to sue our state broadcaster, the British Broadcasting Corporation?

This post is divided into three parts: (1) what is being complained about, (2) what can be said about the threat from a legal perspective, and (3) how this threat fits into he context of how President Trump uses civil litigation and threats of civil litigation.

In essence: what are the facts, what is the legal analysis, and what is the practical position.

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Let us begin.

The complaint is in respect of a Panorama programme broadcast by the BBC on 28 October 2024, which is well over a year ago.

The BBC page for the programmes is here:

You will see on that page that “this episode is not currently available”.

You will also see that dates of the broadcast:

Note that the broadcast dates are before Trump’s successful election on 5 November 2024.

And if you look carefully at that page you will also see that the programme was not made by the BBC, but by a third-party production company. This was thereby not made directly by the BBC news teams, though they would have presumably reviewed and approved the content before broadcast.

This distinction between production and broadcast is not unusual for such programmes.

There is also no evidence that the programme broadcasts were readily available in the United States:

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As regards the content complained of, the Guardian have provided this handy comparison, which you should now click on and watch:

It is a speech by President Trump on 6 January 2021.

In the Panorama edit two parts of the speech are put together so to give the impression that a single statement was made – effectively a succinct incitement to violence:

“We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

In fact the first part – “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol…” – and the last part – “…and we fight. We fight like hell” – were at different parts of the same speech. Indeed, the two passages are about 54 minutes apart.

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From a journalistic and editorial perspective, the Panorama edit is misleading. It conveys the false impression that the two statements were said in one go. There is nothing in the Panorama edit to suggest any passage of time between the two utterances.

As such, from a journalistic and editorial perspective, the Panorama edit is indefensible and it should not have been broadcast.

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However, not all journalistic and editorial errors are breaches of the law.

For such an error to be unlawful as well as unfortunate something else is needed. A complainant needs to bring the error into the scope of the applicable law, which in England and Wales, for example, would the laws of libel and of malicious falsehood.

A journalistic or editorial error is not, in and of itself, actionable at law.

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So what is the legal complaint of President Trump and his legal representatives?

According to Sky the legal letter is as follows:

Re: Demand to Retract False And Defamatory Statements About The President of the United States of America

Dear All:

This law firm serves as litigation counsel for President Donald J Trump (hereinafter referred to as “President Trump”). Please direct all future correspondence relating to this matter to my attention. This correspondence serves as a demand under Florida Statute § 770.011 that you immediately retract the false, defamatory, disparaging, and inflammatory statements made about President Trump, which were published in a Panorama documentary that was fabricated and aired by the BBC.

Failure to comply will leave President Trump with no choice but to pursue any and all legal rights and remedies available to recover damages for the overwhelming financial and reputational harm that the BBC has caused him to suffer, with all rights and remedies being expressly reserved by President Trump.

In the Panorama documentary, titled “Trump: A Second Chance”, which was first broadcast on October 28, 2024 – a week before the 2024 United States presidential election – the BBC intentionally sought to completely mislead its viewers by splicing together three separate parts of President Trump’s speech to supporters on January 6, 2021.

The documentary showed President Trump telling supporters: “We’re gonna walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you and we fight. We fight like hell and if you don’t fight like hell, you’re not going to have a country anymore.”

This fabricated depiction of President Trump was false and defamatory given that President Trump’s actual and full remarks were: “We’re going to walk down, and I’ll be there with you, we’re going to walk down, we’re going to walk down any one of you but I think right here, we’re going to walk down to the Capitol and we’re going to cheer on our brave senators and congressman and women.”

Moreover, the BBC edited out President Trump saying, “I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.” Thus, as set forth in an internal whistleblower memorandum, the BBC’s segment maliciously made it appear that President Trump “[said] things [he] never actually said,” by editing together footage from the start of the speech with a separate quote early an hour later.

Due to their salacious nature, the fabricated statements that were aired by the BBC have been widely disseminated throughout various digital mediums, which have reached tens of millions of people worldwide. Consequently, the BBC has caused President Trump to suffer overwhelming financial and reputational harm.

 

A. Applicable law

Words are defamatory under Florida law when “they tend to subject one to hatred, distrust, ridicule, contempt or disgrace or tend to injure one in one’s business or profession.” Johnston v. Borders, 36 F.4th 1254, 1275 (11th Cir. 2022) (quoting Am. Airlines, Inc. v. Geddes, 960 So. 2d 830, 833 (Fla. 3d DCA 2007) (citation and quotation marks omitted)). Statements are defamatory if “the defendant juxtaposes a series of facts so as to imply a defamatory connection between them, or creates a defamatory implication by omitting facts.” Johnston v. Borders, 36 F.4th 1254, 1275 (11th Cir. 2022) (quoting Jews for Jesus, 997 So. 2d at 1108).

Further, “where the speaker or writer neglects to provide the audience with an adequate factual foundation prior to engaging in the offending discourse, liability may arise.” See Zambrano v. Devanesan, 484 So. 2d 603, 607 (Fla. 4th DCA 1986).

Even if the BBC attempts to whitewash its conduct as simply an expression of its opinions, Florida law makes clear that such a defense will not absolve its liability. See Dershowitz v. Cable News Network, Inc., 541 F. Supp. 3d 1354, 1362 (S.D. Fla. 2021); see also Milkovich v. Lorain Journal Co., 497 U.S. 1, 18-19 (1990) (”Even if the speaker states the facts upon which he bases his opinion, if those facts are either incorrect or incomplete, or if his assessment of them is erroneous, the statement may still imply a false assertion of fact. Simply couching such statements in terms of opinion does not dispel these implications.”) (emphasis added); see also Eastern Air Lines, Inc. v. Gellert, 438 So. 2d 923, 927 (Fla. 3d DCA 1983) (“[A] statement that although ostensibly in the form of an opinion ‘implies the allegation of undisclosed defamatory facts as the basis for the opinion’ is actionable.”) (emphasis added).

Consequently, the BBC lacks any viable defense to the overwhelming reputational and financial harm it has caused President Trump to suffer.

 

B. Demand

The above-referenced false, defamatory, malicious, disparaging, and inflammatory statements were published to deliberately denigrate President Trump. The timing of the fabricated documentary is evident.

The BBC’s reckless disregard for the truth underscores the actual malice behind the decision to publish the wrongful content, given the plain falsity of the statements.

Accordingly, President Trump hereby demands that you:

1) immediately issue a full and fair retraction of the documentary and any and all other false, defamatory, disparaging, misleading, and inflammatory statements about President Trump in as conspicuous a manner as they were originally published;

2) immediately issue an apology for the false, defamatory, disparaging, misleading, and inflammatory statements about President Trump; and

3) appropriately compensate President Trump for the harm caused.

Moreover, please allow this letter to serve as notice to you, to your affiliated entities, subsidiaries, to all of their employees, and any other person acting on behalf of or in concert with the BBC, to preserve any and all evidence related in any way to the above-mentioned malicious, false, and defamatory statements the BBC published, and any other statements that the BBC has published regarding President Trump.

By way of this letter, the BBC is hereby directed not to destroy, conceal, or alter any paper or electronic files, physical evidence, and/or other data relating in any way, no matter how remote, to your false claims regarding President Trump, and/or the circumstances leading to their dissemination, including, but not limited to:

1) all communications between you and any third party in any way related to your wrongful claims regarding President Trump;

2) all sources for your false claims regarding President Trump;

3) any and all documents and data referring to, reflecting, or relating to communications between you and any such third parties or sources regarding your false claims regarding President Trump; and

4) any and all documents in any way related to your false claims regarding President Trump. This includes any information alleged to be protected by Florida Statute § 90.5015. Monarch Air Group, LLC v. Journalism Dev. Network, Inc., No. 23-CV-61256, 2025 WL 445491, at *1 (S.D. Fla. Feb. 10, 2025) (interpreting Fla. Stat. § 90.5015 and explaining that the Eleventh Circuit “recognizes a qualified privilege for journalists, allowing them to resist compelled disclosure of their professional news gathering efforts. This privilege shields reporters in both criminal and civil proceedings.”) (quoting United States v. Capers, 708 F.3d 1286, 1303 (11th Cir. 2013)).

I understand that many records and files are maintained electronically. However, this letter specifically requests that all paper and hard copy originals be maintained and preserved in their original format.

By the same token, electronic documents and the storage media on which they reside may contain relevant, discoverable information beyond that which may be found in printed documents. Therefore, even where a paper copy exists and has been preserved, please preserve and maintain all electronically stored documents in their original native format, including all metadata.

This preservation demand specifically encompasses any and all electronic documents, including but not limited to, all word-processed files, emails, spreadsheets, all databases, log files, and any other electronically stored and/or generated documents or files.

If the BBC does not comply with the above by November 14, 2025, at 5:00 p.m. EST, President Trump will be left with no alternative but to enforce his legal and equitable rights, all of which are expressly reserved and are not waived, including by filing legal action for no less than $1,000,000,000 (One Billion Dollars) in damages.

The BBC is on notice.

PLEASE GOVERN YOURSELF ACCORDINGLY.

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(That last term in block capitals is a feature of US litigation letters.)

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There some rather odd things about this legal threat.

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First, the letter states in three places about the the reputational harm caused to Trump:

“…the BBC lacks any viable defense to the overwhelming reputational and financial harm it has caused President Trump to suffer”

“…the overwhelming financial and reputational harm that the BBC has caused him to suffer”

…the BBC has caused President Trump to suffer overwhelming financial and reputational harm.”

The Panorama programme was broadcast in the United Kingdom days before Trump was re-elected in the United States.

It is impossible to see how Trump being re-elected is consistent with him suffering any harm by the broadcast, let alone “overwhelming financial and reputational harm”.

And if you look closely at the letter, no harm is even shown – let alone “overwhelming financial and reputational harm”.

Instead harm is merely asserted – rather than demonstrated.

As such this seems a weak litigation letter.

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The failure by this letter to show harm then feeds into the threat that Trump may sue for “no less than $1,000,000,000 (One Billion Dollars) in damages.”

Because no harm is shown, this figure is arbitrary.

The letter may have said one dollar or a trillion dollars and would have made as much rational sense.

It is a preposterous demand.

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The letter is also alert to the inconvenient truth that the programme was not actually broadcast in the United States. This is is why the following passage is included:

“…the fabricated statements that were aired by the BBC have been widely disseminated throughout various digital mediums, which have reached tens of millions of people worldwide.”

There is no evidence in the letter that anyone in the United States, let alone Florida, either saw the programme or even know of its existence.

Interestingly, in the demands for document retention, the letter fails to even ask the BBC for evidence of the extent of downloads and broadcasts of the programme. This is a strange omission, if this was a serious legal threat.

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I am not an American lawyer, and so I can offer no view on the merits of this legal threat under the laws of Florida. Even what can seem weak litigation letters may have traction in other jurisdictions.

But if this threat was made under the laws of England and Wales (Scotland and Northern Ireland have their own legal systems) one would say that this claim also had its weaknesses over here.

First, it is would be out of time: there is a one year limitation period.

Second: the claimant would have to show – and not merely assert – serious damage to their reputation. The letter does not do so.

And third: the ceiling for damages claims for libel in England and Wales is about £300,000 – and any award over £100,000 is rare.

This rules out one million pound claims, let alone one billion pound claims.

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Would the BBC have any defence in a hypothetical case brought in England, regardless of the above defences?

A straight defence of truth would not be available – Trump did not say what the Panorama edit had him saying, at least not in one go.

However, the truth defence also covers things which are “substantially” true. This is a riskier defence to mount, but if the BBC did mount it would be along the lines of Trump did effectively promote an insurrection, even if he did not say in one go what was said in the Panorama edit.

Here the BBC could point to findings of Congressional committees and the terms of the impeachment of Trump passed by the House of Representatives (even though he was not convicted by the Senate). The BBC could also say that the 54 minute gap between the statements did not necessarily mean that the latter statement – “fight like hell” – was not an incitement.

An English court would also have regard to the programme as a whole, and also to Trump’s speech as a whole.

Whether Trump was an insurrectionist would presumably not be something Trump would want to have decided by an English court on the basis of the civil standard of proof – the balance of probabilities.

On the other hand, it was a bad journalistic and editorial fail, and so the BBC would not relish this being decided by the London high court either.

On the face of it, if this was litigated at the high court in London (and assuming limitation was not a problem, and the claimant was able to show serious damage) one could see it going either way, though one would expect a successful claim to be worth only about £30,000.

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Stepping back, what we have here is an overstated claim on a somewhat artificial basis. Until recent news reports, one suspects neither Trump nor anyone else in the US even knew about the Panorama programme.

And given he was re-elected president (in the USA) days after broadcast (in the UK), any claim for damages would seem to fall flat.

But.

The facts of the Panorama edit are ugly for the BBC. It was a bad mistake, and so it would not be one where a confident defence could be mounted.

And this, in turn, means Trump has leverage.

Trump loves leverage.

For Trump, civil litigation is a form of deal-making – the promotion of his political and business interests by other means.

One should not approach his legal manoeuvres as if they are cases that will go all the way. They are skirmishes intended to force a deal, a compromise, a back-down by the other side.

A confident BBC would admit a mistake and move on without admitting legal liability.

But we do not have a confident BBC.

We have a media corporation lacking confidence.

Trump loves media corporations -and other institutions – that lack confidence.

And although one would hope the BBC would mount a complete defence to any claim being brought in a jurisdiction where a programme was not even broadcast and where no damage has been shown, one can also imagine the BBC seeking to make amends including by means of compensation (of licence fee payers money) so as to avoid litigation.

The litigation letter may be weak, but Trump’s underlying practical position is strong: the BBC made a mistake, and he knows how to take full advantage of it.

So putting aside the theatrics of a bombastic letter with its senseless $1 billion claim, there is a power play here which Trump has done many times before.

And the real mistake of the BBC (and the production company) was opening itself up to such a play of power.

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Comments Policy

This blog enjoys a high standard of comments, many of which are better and more interesting than the posts.

Comments are welcome, but they are pre-moderated and comments will not be published if irksome, or if they risk derailing the discussion.

More on the comments policy is here.

The BBC’s depressing lack of inherent institutional strength

10th November 2025

The BBC needs to be a robust, independent institution

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The British (or Bullied) Broadcasting Corporation is suffering another kicking.

Of course, the BBC is not perfect, and nor is its ultimate legal method of funding, which relies on the criminal law and a prohibition on using television sets without a licence (ie, permission) from the state.

That the criminal law is involved at all in this area is a wrong and something to which this blog may return. There are other ways of funding a public service broadcaster and the sanction for non-payment of the licence fee should be a civil debt and not anything to do with the criminal law.

But there is also a great deal of good about the BBC and its special legal structure.

(Personal tastes will differ in respect of content. I will give a shout for radio channels 3, 4 and 5, the world service, local news, and for Match of the Day. I loathe the Today programme and Question Time, now parodies of what were once-interesting news formats. And many current news priorities of the online BBC news do seem rather odd, though not in the way the commercial media aver.)

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The primary benefit of the BBC is that there is a large-scale broadcaster and online publisher structurally outwith the commercial pressures of the other forms of news media. And this is a valuable benefit.

Legal frameworks and nominal autonomy, however, are of less importance than a sense of institutional integrity.

Just as this blog emphasises that constitutionalism is more important than the form of any constitution, institutions such as the BBC require an independent robustness more than anything written in a charter.

And once that spirit goes, then the institution itself is undermined.

There will be those who will clap and cheer at the senior BBC resignations over the last couple of days, but such elation is misconceived. For the BBC to be this weak as an institution when faced with outside (and politically motivated) criticism is not a sign of a healthy mixed polity.

One of the many bad things done by the Blair governments was the kicking of the BBC over the Iraq WMD issue. The political benefit gained by the administration of the day was more than outweighed by the collapse of institutional confidence within the BBC.

And the current kicking seems similar in its nature – and will no doubt have similar effects.

Something precious in our polity is again being trashed, just because some with political motives want to give the BBC a good kicking, and the BBC will not (or cannot) defend itself.

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Comments Policy

This blog enjoys a high standard of comments, many of which are better and more interesting than the posts.

Comments are welcome, but they are pre-moderated and comments will not be published if irksome, or if they risk derailing the discussion.

More on the comments policy is here.

The real problem which blights our prison and punishment system

7th November 2025

The way we think about custodial sentences is what needs to change

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Today’s news is about prisons:

Spate of recent news stories about prison problems

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Let us take a step back.

There is a serious addiction problem which blights our prison and punishment system.

The relevant addicts only make it worse for themselves and for everyone else.

And they never seem any nearer to breaking free from the cycles of despair and misery.

The addiction, of course, is that of our political and media classes to custodial sentences.

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There are long-term, medium-term and short-term problems with our prisons.

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The short-term problem is the general lack of funding, lack of direction and lack of thought about how to manage the prison estate. At the moment this general mess is breaking through into the national news because of mistaken prisoner releases.

But those mistaken releases – treated by many in media and politics as a gotcha against the government – are in merely obvious manifestations of the ongoing chaotic and dangerous conditions of our penal system.

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The medium-term problem, at least in England and Wales, is the structural craziness of having the prison system as part of the ministry of justice, a small department (also responsible for courts and probation) that has little or no political gravity in Whitehall.

The decision of the Blair government in 2005 to create a “holistic” (vomit) MoJ by taking prisons and probation out of the Home Office and lumping it with the former Lord Chancellor’s department has led to our prisons being inherently underfunded ever since.

The Blair government made many bad decisions, but this is one of less famous but far more consequential ones.

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The long-term problem is the fundamental assumption in our politics that the norm for punishment should be lengthy (and expensive) terms of imprisonment.

It is a fairly recent notion in historical terms, and only really came about in the early 1800s, after the general moral turn against corporal and capital punishments and the practical turn against transportation.

As I once put in a paragraph of which I am still proud:

“Here is a thought-experiment: imagine that you have asked some mischievous demon to conceive the most counter-productive way of dealing with crime. What fiendish scheme would this diabolic agent devise?

“The demon could suggest a system where offenders are kept together with more serious and experienced criminals for months or years, and so can learn from them; where the offender is taken away from any gainful employment and social support or family network; where the offender is put in places where drugs and brutality are rife; where the infliction of a penalty can make the offender more, and not less, likely to re-offend; and where all this is done at extraordinary expense for the taxpayer.

“A system, in other words, very much like the prison system we now have in England and Wales, as well as in many other jurisdictions.”

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“Here is a thought-experiment: imagine that you have asked some mischievous demon to conceive the most counter-productive way of dealing with crime. What fiendish scheme would this diabolic agent devise?  “The demon could suggest a system where offenders are kept together with more serious and experienced criminals for months or years, and so can learn from them; where the offender is taken away from any gainful employment and social support or family network; where the offender is put in places where drugs and brutality are rife; where the infliction of a penalty can make the offender more, and not less, likely to re-offend; and where all this is done at extraordinary expense for the taxpayer.  “A system, in other words, very much like the prison system we now have in England and Wales, as well as in many other jurisdictions.”

*

Perhaps one day, like slavery and witchcraft trials, sensible humane people will wonder why we ever did such a thing.

That is not to say there is a group for which detention is appropriate for public protections, and (notwithstanding the sentiments of some other liberals) there is a place for full-life tariffs for certain crimes.

But generally prison is a costly system for worsening the social problem of crime.

Other than a hundred-or-so prisoners with full-life tariffs, the assumption is that the prisoners will be one day released. It is just a way of delaying a problem.

Whatever the solution to crime, it is likely to involve punishments that do not snap and effectively extinguish social, community, family and employment ties – for it is those bonds which are more likely to bind people to more constructive pursuits and lead to meaningful rehabilitation.

*

But our political and media class are addicted to the bidding war of ever-heavier sentences, and the criminal division of the court of appeal and the sentencing council are content to nod-along with the wants of the addicts.

Yet we cannot afford this addiction.

We simply do not have the capacity to go along with what is demanded.

And so we get news stories like the ones that are now breaking.

Breaking news about a broken system.

***

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Equal and opposite effects: how liberals are working out to how to campaign in the modern age

6th November 2025

They now need to work out how to exercise and retain power

*

Yesterday this blog set out that many in politics and media are trapped in a latter-day Plato’s cave of social media, unable to make sense of the world about them other than by looking at projected shadows.

But there is currently another aspect of social media that is worth remarking upon, especially in the light of the campaigning and victory of the new mayor-elect of New York, and also here in England of the campaigning of the new leader of the Green party.

One tactic which they adopt is to take the nasty and spiteful coverage of them by illiberal news outlets, and to simply turn it on its head. Instead of being cowered by the relentless personal and political hostility, they use it as part of their own campaigning. It is an unafraid approach, and it renders the unpleasant attacks fairly impotent.

This should not be surprising – our post-Enlightenment ways of thinking means that we can expect each effect to have an equal and opposite effect, a thesis to have its antithesis, that demand will be met by supply, and so on.

Just because the illiberals were the best first-movers on how to use social media platforms it does not necessarily mean that they retain that first-mover advantage. Those opposed to illiberalism can, in turn, develop fresh and innovative tactics to replace those now-clumsy approaches which have failed before.

A Schumer can be replaced by a Mamdani.

What we, in a more jaded time than the optimism of Enlightenment thinking, realise is that conflict and confrontation is not always a prelude to a happy equilibrium: things break down, thesis and antithesis do not resolve as a synthesis, markets do not clear and are certainly never ‘perfect’.

So while one can welcome the fact that liberals (and progressives and socialists) are no longer at any inherent disadvantage at his time of internet-based campaigning, such witty online deftness is not in and of itself sufficient to defeat the illiberals.

As the post here yesterday set out, social media is only one element amongst others when seeking to force political change – others are constitutional structures (and lack of structures), patterns of political participation, and social and economic contexts.

That said, the first job of a politicians is to work out how to get power – and that is a precondition of exercising and retaining power.

But fresh and innovative thinking is also required about how to exercise and retain power – against what will be a formidable illiberal push-back – as well as in campaigning.

Liberals (and progressives and socialists) are now working out how to meet the political challenge of modern campaigning; they now need to meet the equal (and perhaps opposite) challenge of modern governing.

***

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Trapped in a latter-day Plato’s cave

5th November 2025

Social media platforms do not necessarily correspond to the outside world

*

Once upon a time the writer of this blog had far too many followers on social media, and when one has far too many followers, things start becoming distorted. And unless one does something about it, one can go quite mad.

By ‘quite mad’ it is meant that one’s sense of reality becomes disconnected from, well, reality. One begins to replace thoughts with ‘takes’ – and to replace developing those thoughts with promoting memes. The value of your takes and memes is then measured by likes and reposts from the similarly afflicted.

Pretty soon you are trapped within a self-contained and self-perpetuating system of understanding the world, and one becomes unable to see the world in any other way.

You are trapped within a latter-day Plato’s cave.

*

Many in politics and media now seem to also chained in that cave, unable to see the world other than via how X/Twitter and Facebook present this world.

No social media platform is perfect – the ‘social’ bit ensures that, as people are not perfect – but some platforms are better than others (I prefer Bluesky for law and policy, and Mastodon for general geekery).

Being able to differentiate the world around you from (mainstream and social) media representations of it is crucial to half-decent thinking about the world.

Of course, one has to take account of social media – the rise of Brexit and Trump require an understanding of how certain politics thrive with electronic networks. But social media is only one element amongst others – constitutional structures (and lack of structures), patterns of political participation, and social and economic contexts.

The challenge for liberals is not to ignore social media but to put it in its place: to use it and learn from it, but not to be overwhelmed by it.

***

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